Blog break
Taking a break from blogging.I have been very bullish on the markets for a few months, what kind of trading am I doing right now ? Buy and hold !!!!Very busy giving trading seminars (just came back from Perpignan, south of France), and taking care of my business in Morocco.If you need more infos on the trading seminars, feel free to contact me.
Rosetta Stones,
Here´s a little EW trick I noticed on Sunday with that Rosetta post as 60 min.
These triple flats can be many ways on there, they are difficult of cource since they can even x3 to make more of them, but counting the numbers itself might help often and after one triple flat something important should be trying to respond - even after the fact as afterwards it´s helpfull that something important potentially has ended.
More complex means better response in EW, usually once ended.
Weekly Market Commentary: Breakout in Nasdaq
A good week for the indices and the Nasdaq in particular.
The Nasdaq pushed to a new multi-year high on higher volume accumulation. It has the look of a solid breakout which can probably withstand a few weeks of weakness before pushing on. Assuming a period of consolidation follows it will be important for 2,700 to hold.
That Old 1978-82 Analog Again
A post on Ritholtz’s Big Picture blog reflected a conclusion I recently reluctantly needed to begin facing. Regular readers know that for over two years I have been tracking the path of the S&P 500 Index in what I call … Continue reading →
5 minute 20SMA tight breakout - BIIB
Daily Market Commentary: S&P Test of 20-day MA
The early morning dive across markets took the S&P and Dow Jones Index down to their respective 20-day MAs. All indices were able to recover by the close, but not before triggering technical 'sell' signals for MACDs for the aforementioned indices. Bull can take comfort from the sharp drop in trade volume; it was well below that of last week and didn't rank as distribution.
Today's touch of the 20-day MA in the S&P looks like a successful support test, but should there be a second test this week then it will likely break and the 50-day MA becomes the next support level.
SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) trading plan
SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) trading plan1) Weekly chart2) $160 = Clean break out buy trigger3) Gold heading below the light blue uptrend ? Very low probability right now4) Iran, Iran, Iran ....5) Can the $USD and Gold rise at the same time ? Yes .... so as usual, expect the unexpected.
Technical Picture - Reversal Bar
Today the SPX carved out a reversal bar - higher high and lower close from the previous session. We are looking for minor corrective action to bring us half way back to roughly 1300 before resuming the uptrend towards our 1344 target.
Two Timeframe Chart Structure Watch on Amazon AMZN
Amazon’s (AMZN) chart structure is creating an interesting breaking point of tension between the higher and lower timeframes.
While the daily chart argues for potential reversal higher, the weekly chart shows a barrier of overhead resistance that must be broken before a reversal higher can take place.
It’s a good example of how to incorporate two timeframes in real-time, so let’s take a look at AMZN:
Revisiting Housing and Banking With a New Ending
There was much conversation today about how the housing and banking industry was leading the market higher ….. which reminded me of a post I made close to a year ago on May 11, 2011 entitled “Homebuilders and Financials: The … Continue reading →
Competition
One of the many harsh realities of trading is that it takes a lot of intentional effort.
That means you intentionally prepare (both mentally and with an actual game plan), you intentionally execute (have the discipline to stick with your method), and you intentionally improve (by reviewing results, keeping an open mind, working with other traders to expand your abilities, etc.).
The fact of the matter is that if your competition is outgunning you, the way to start having more success is by outworking them.
2012, focus on Iran and crude oil
Focus on Iran and crude oil prices ; Red arrow = Key resistanceABC pattern almost activatedBlue arrows (thick) = Probable war with IranBelow purple arrow = Global slow down (I doubt it)Focus on defense stocksWar = Higher demand for $USD ???? We shall soon find out
15 minute Inside Bar - RMD
SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD), can you predict the next pattern ?
SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD) ;1) Can you predict the next pattern ?2) Based on the current "facts" (global economy, financial crisis, currency war), we shall expect the following scenario (see the blue arrows)3) Can this scenario change ? I doubt it, unless some invisible hand makes a miracle ...4) Stocks or Gold ? Both , focus on high quality stocks with decent dividends.
Technical Picture - Ambush
As depicted on the daily ES emini futures chart above, the bears ambushed the bulls at the cusp of the ambush zone ( 50-61.8% Fib. retracement) and carved out a reversal bar.
Quick Dual Divergence Intraday Trading Lesson on January 13
Dual intraday divergences can be very helpful in pinpointing short-term turns (reversal) in price which create ideal low-risk, high probability trade set-ups for the intraday index futures or ETF trader.
Let’s highlight a good example reference from today’s action on January 13th using the @ES Futures contract as our proxy.
Click for full-size image.
Gap and 123 Pullback - Stopped out
Gao Fade Long - KSS
Euro - Trying to Recover,
Europe was downgraded but did that actually only finished the low for some time ?
Europe was bullish today where parrticulary companies who do export did rally.
Once again, the most strong gains were seen in Nordic Territory (the export territory).
Uber busy week ahead in US to which I am entering with pretty neutral minds, I have MSFT but I am slightly carefull with Intel, it looks a toppy for me as 5 five.
Earnings Expectations for the Week of January 16th, 2012
Wells Fargo







