NASDAQ Closes off its Highs as Volume Slides, but Above Average
The market ended off the highs of the session, but with volume coming in lower we avoid a day of stalling. Russell 2000 small cap index raced higher tying the NASDAQ composite for the top index of the day. Interestingly, enough both indexes have yet to have the golden cross yet continue to lead the entire market higher. Bernanke’s testimony on the hill helped spark some buying, but as the testimony wore on sellers began to take over. We continue to play in overbought conditions, but this rally is healthy and remains that way. Tomorrow’s job report will certainly set off fireworks.

Category: General Market Tags:
Friday 7atSeven: bull market stages
Here are seven (or so) links at 7AM Eastern. We will see you later with the daily linkfest. Good luck out there.
Where are we in the three stages of bull markets. (Ivanhoff Capital)
Where did all the ETF volume go in January? (FT)

Category: General Market Tags:
Split between “Real” and “Asset” Economies Never More Clear Than Now
Many average investors like to think that the performance of the STOCK market is closely tied to the underlying ECONOMY. And in most normal times, that’s true. But the current market environment is anything but normal.
I say that because we’re in the midst of yet another round of money-printing-driven action. The fingerprints are everywhere …
Super-low volume rallies in stocks. Levitation in gold.

Category: Fundamental Analysis Tags:
Triple US Equity Index Check on Push to New Recovery Highs
This morning’s better than expected Jobs Report sent US Equity Indexes into or above key target areas that – if the momentum continues as it appears currently – will break price into New Recovery High territory which you’ll want to monitor closely.
Let’s take a look at the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and NASDAQ to compare current structure and what may occur on a breakthrough beyond these prior high resistance levels.
First, the S&P 500 Daily Chart:

Category: Technical Analysis Tags:
Facebook $FB Files for an IPO as a late day sell-off takes down the S&P 500
The big talk of the town was FB filing for its IPO. Despite the news of the IPO sellers hit the market late day pushing stocks from its highs. Over at the NASDAQ despite sellers on the NYSE the NASDAQ appeared to be somewhat immune. Volume soared on the NASDAQ as institutions pile back into technology stocks. It is clear the leading index of this rally is the NASDAQ and we view this as a positive sign. A solid day for the NASDAQ while it appears the NYSE related indexes continue to lag.

Category: General Market Tags:
Daily Market Commentary: Small Change
Today's action amounted to a bit of a non-event. Tight price action was combined with low volume. The quiet action did little to change the broader picture, or the technical health of the indices.
The only point of interest in the S&P was the increasing disparity in relative strength between the S&P and Russell 2000.

Category: Technical Analysis Tags:
Q3 Was Not a Good Quarter for American Wealth - Worst Since Dark Days of 2008
Remember the reason for QE2... that whole "wealth effect" thing? Well the problem with temporary manipulation of asset prices is just that... it's temporary. Blow $600B through the hole, and while it creates temporary "happy happy time" (for a narrowing portion of our society) [Nov 10, 2010: Who Will Any Form of Intermediate Wealth Effect Really Help? Not the Masses], eventually market forces come back. As The Bernank would say ... it's transitory.

Category: Fundamental Analysis Tags:
AAPL Blows Away Earnings in After-Hour Session
Another great day for the stock market as again buyers step up and support the market. The market did get help from the Richmond Federal Reserve Manufacturing index as it came in better than expected. However, the market turned its attention to AAPL’s quarterly earnings report. Volume came in lower perhaps due to the Federal Reserve meeting concluding on Wednesday, but it’s anyone’s guess. More importantly, it was AAPL’s blow out quarter taking center stage. This uptrend will continue tomorrow and for the moment it continues to be strong.

Category: General Market Tags:
Daily Market Commentary: Rally on Higher Volume Accumulation
Yesterday's tight action gave way to broader gains on higher volume. Tech and Small Cap indices enjoyed the best of the gains, helped by a very strong gain for the semiconductor index.
Gains in the Russell 2000 helped push supporting technicals back into firm overbought territory. Russell 2000 gains were enough to swing relative strength back Small Caps, although the long term relationship is in flux.

Category: Technical Analysis Tags:
Daily Market Commentary: Sellers Make First Appearance in S&P for 2012
Today was the first distribution day for the year in the S&P and the second for the Nasdaq. Despite the selling there was little change on the nature of the rally. A sequence of selling would obviously change this, but today offered little more than profit taking.
Selling in the S&P retraced some, but not all of yesterday's gains. If this is the start of a longer decline then the 20-day MA is the likely support area for buyers to make their next appearance.

Category: Technical Analysis Tags:
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