USD

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The Positive Relationship Between Short Term Rates and the Dollar Index

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I wanted to highlight a few quick recent charts of how the US Dollar Index positively correlates (moves in the same direction) with the 3-month Treasury Bill Discount Rate.

It’s not the most fascinating topic, but it’s definitely important to know of this relationship, so let’s take a look at a couple of recent charts.

First, a ‘zoomed in’ view of the recent action:

You can view this comparison in StockCharts with symbols:

$IRX for the 3-month T-Bill Discount Rate (short-term)

 
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4

Risk Appetite Roars Higher As Eurozone And US Data Impresses

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G10 Advancers and Decliners vs USD

GBP
1.04

CHF
0.95

EUR
0.64

JPY
-0.24

• Austrian newspaper Der Kurier reports that France and Germany are debating a EUR55 bln rescue as soon as Easter

• Turkey agrees with IMF on fiscal rule but opinions said to differ on projections

• Eurozone Industrial Production (Jan) smashed estimates at +1.7% MoM (+0.7% expected) and last month’s -1.7% print was revised up significantly to +0.6% causing a strong EURUSD rally to 1.3797…

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1

Weekly Trading Update - 08-12 March 2010

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It's been quite difficult trading my 4 hour trading system lately because technically speaking I should still be going short on the GBP/USD and EUR/USD pairs because the daily Supertrend indicator is still red. (...)

 
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4

Midday Briefing for March 12th: Forming a Range

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5

BoJ Poised to Ease

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G10 Advancers and Decliners vs USD

CHF
0.19

EUR
0.12

GBP
0.10

JPY
-0.09

• New Zealand Jan retail sales m/m 0.8% vs. 0.5% exp, y/y 2.3% vs. 3.6% exp, ex-autos 0.3% m/m vs.

 
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4

A EURO bear market rally in the making

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The EUR has fallen 10% vs. the dollar in 4-month’s and is now contained in this narrow monthly range. Is this the fair value of the EUR? It’s lost 5% this year over European sovereign debt problems and the possibility that Trichet will fall behind Bernanke in hiking rates. The contagion scenario, referring to Spain and Portugal, has traders leaning left of center in their EUR positions. However, the record ‘short’ bets are in danger of feeling a ‘whiplash effect’. A natural healthy cleansing of the ‘weaker shorts’ is on the horizon.

 
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Dollar Lower on Mixed Data

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Dollar Lower on Mixed Data

The Dollar remained lower against higher yielding currencies today, after mixed economic data published yesterday. Crude Oil prices remained mainly unchanged on concerns of Chinese monetary policy tightening which might dampen the country's demand for commodities.
Economic News
USD – Dollar Down Slightly on Mixed U.S Data

The Dollar weakened slightly against the EUR yesterday after the release of mixed U.S. data and better than expected Chinese data.

 
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5

Will the Canadian Dollar Reach Parity with the U.S. Dollar?

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Canadian dollar looks to move toward parity in currency trading

The outlook for USD/CAD is slightly bearish right now, with the Canadian dollar possibly eying parity in currency trading on the FX market. 

 
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6

Bearish Dollar Will Try and Recover Losses Today

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Bearish Dollar Will Try and Recover Losses Today

Following yesterday's bearish downturn for the U.S. Dollar, the greenback will try and recover some of its losses with the help of several critical economic indicators today. Both the U.S. Trade Balance Report and this week's unemployment claims are likely to have an impact on Dollar positions.

 
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5