1980 - 2011 Stock Market Returns for Various Indices

Category: Longterm Investing Tags:
Daily Market Commentary: Small Change
Today's action amounted to a bit of a non-event. Tight price action was combined with low volume. The quiet action did little to change the broader picture, or the technical health of the indices.
The only point of interest in the S&P was the increasing disparity in relative strength between the S&P and Russell 2000.

Category: Technical Analysis Tags:
Daily Market Commentary: Rally on Higher Volume Accumulation
Yesterday's tight action gave way to broader gains on higher volume. Tech and Small Cap indices enjoyed the best of the gains, helped by a very strong gain for the semiconductor index.
Gains in the Russell 2000 helped push supporting technicals back into firm overbought territory. Russell 2000 gains were enough to swing relative strength back Small Caps, although the long term relationship is in flux.

Category: Technical Analysis Tags:
Weekly Market Commentary: Market Breadth Improves; Breakouts for Dow and Russell 2000
While indices continued their advance for the week, it was market breadth which made the biggest improvement.
The Percentage of Nasdaq Stocks above the 50-day MA rose to 62%, leaving it on course to test resistance from late 2010, currently around 70%.
The Nasdaq Bullish Percents also crossed the 50% halfway mark. Declining resistance for this index is around the 55% mark.

Category: Technical Analysis Tags:
Daily Market Commentary: Low Volume Consolidation
Despite missing yesterday's update there was little to split today's or yesterday's action. The only index to attempt to put some distance on the two days was the Russell 2000. Small Caps again attempted to retake the leadership role off Tech stocks as relative strength swung back in their favour; there was even a 'Golden Cross' between the 20-day and 200-day MAs.

Category: Technical Analysis Tags:
YEAR END WHIMPER:
With the S&P 500 ending EXACTLY the same as the year before -1257.6 - it signified the boring end to 2011; many of the Indicators regressed to the mean on low Volume, with the VIX at 23. Some relative extremes did include the Inv.Intell. Bulls at 50+%; my records show a 62.9% high in Dec. of '04. AAII Bulls jumped to 40% - must be the champagne! A small number of funds flowed out of equity funds into MMFs, but the ETFs remained almost unchanged month/month.
Here are closing numbers for 2011:
Date>

Category: General Market Tags:
Daily Market Commentary: Rally Ticks Along
A little disappointing markets weren't able to push on after a strong start, but many indices registered accumulation days.
The S&P finished near its October swing high, although it's in the process of turning this former resistance level into support. While stochastics are overbought, On-Balance-Volume and MACD continue to trend higher on the side of bulls.

Category: Technical Analysis Tags:
JANUARY BAROMETER:
As the old saying goes (Observable, but not Actionable) : So goes the first week of January - so goes the month; so goes January, so goes the year! Of course, a la the Heisenberg principle - since the year contains the month, it has a nice running start.

Category: General Market Tags:
Weekly Market Commentary: Dow and Russell 2000 Pressures Resistance
I was digging through some old charts and came across this one (originally sourced from the now defunct headlinecharts.com); what it shows is the ordered relationship between yield (bonds), stocks and commodities. When markets make a bottom or top, first to change is Yields, then Stocks, and finally Commodities. In the 4-year business cycle, there is around a 12-month gap between a turn in Yield and Stocks, and around 9-months between Stocks and Commodities. Yields in 30-year treasuries are fast approaching the swing low in 2008 - a potential support level.

Category: Technical Analysis Tags:
Weekly Market Commentary: Another Good Week For Indices
Nothing fancy for the week, just steady gains for indices. These gains keep in play the rally from October. Market breadth continued to improve alongside index gains. Certain market breadth indicators are at declining resistance dating back to 2010, important tests, because breach these and the rallies will be well placed to continue for the next few weeks (if not months).

Category: Technical Analysis Tags:
Navigation
Tag Cloud
Popular Today
- 6The Big Picture for the Week of February 5, 2012
- 61980 - 2011 Stock Market Returns for Various Indices
- 6Saturday links: limit orders and dopamine
- 6Ten Pieces of Inspiration #58
- 4Why You Shouldn't Count on Social Security
- 4Don’t Get an Oil Change Every 3,000 Miles (34/365)
- 3this weeks results 1/30/2012-2/3/2012
- 3Saturday Mornings Setups for The Week Ahead Plus Market Analysis
- 3Samsung & Microsoft,
- 1FAST: Two Views from the Heart and the Mind