Gold Juniors Poised to Rebound: Joe Mazumdar
The Gold Report: What is the consensus among Haywood analysts on what 2012 will bring for mine commodities, particularly precious metals?
Joe Mazumdar: Last year, risk aversion was a common market theme. In 2012, some of the same global economic concerns, such as the ongoing Eurozone crisis and the future of the euro, will continue to draw attention. But we also believe there is potential for positive economic indicators, primarily from the U.S., where there have been upticks in manufacturing and GDP growth. Also, unemployment in the U.S. is down to 8.5%, generating some consumer confidence.

Category: Fundamental Analysis Tags:
Despite “Signs of Improvement” Bernanke Holds Near-Zero Rate Pledge
Speaking before the House Budget Committee in Washington today, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said that the U.S. economy appeared to be gaining in strength.
“Fortunately, over the past few months, indicators of spending, production, and job-market activity have shown some signs of improvement,” Bernanke testified. “The outlook remains uncertain, however, and close monitoring of economic developments will remain necessary.”
Technical Indicators To Profit From
How One Technical Indicator Can Identify Three Trade Setups
Trading using technical indicators -- such as the MACD, for example -- can do one of two things: help you or hurt you.

Category: General Market Tags:
YEAR END WHIMPER:
With the S&P 500 ending EXACTLY the same as the year before -1257.6 - it signified the boring end to 2011; many of the Indicators regressed to the mean on low Volume, with the VIX at 23. Some relative extremes did include the Inv.Intell. Bulls at 50+%; my records show a 62.9% high in Dec. of '04. AAII Bulls jumped to 40% - must be the champagne! A small number of funds flowed out of equity funds into MMFs, but the ETFs remained almost unchanged month/month.
Here are closing numbers for 2011:
Date>

Category: General Market Tags:
JANUARY BAROMETER:
As the old saying goes (Observable, but not Actionable) : So goes the first week of January - so goes the month; so goes January, so goes the year! Of course, a la the Heisenberg principle - since the year contains the month, it has a nice running start.

Category: General Market Tags:
NEW & DEPROVED SENTIMENT TABLE:
Still working on the matrix transfer, but the data is updated.
One of my DITM blog readers kindly shared a DITM-style website, for those interested:
tknight@fullyinformed.com
Additionally, the Gabelli ETF - GDV- also does a nice job, with a 3+% mgmt fee. I also listed 2 trades I did today, ex-dividend tomorrow.

Category: General Market Tags:
Sunday Morning Coffee
Bernie Schaeffer had a write up in Barron's in which he referred to an article from the New Yorker. There was one line in there that intrigued Bernie that was particularly interesting;
In effect, [investors have] decided that, in a market as volatile as this one, the only way to win the game is simply not to play.

Category: General Market Tags:
Weekly Market Commentary: Another Good Week For Indices
Nothing fancy for the week, just steady gains for indices. These gains keep in play the rally from October. Market breadth continued to improve alongside index gains. Certain market breadth indicators are at declining resistance dating back to 2010, important tests, because breach these and the rallies will be well placed to continue for the next few weeks (if not months).

Category: Technical Analysis Tags:
ORANGE ALERT:
Interesting week for a rather calm stock market: the S&P500 broke up through the 1300 level to a double top from last July - Larry McMillan states that it is 3 Std Deviations above its 20-day MA, and just as Oct and Apr.'11 and Feb.'07, the OEX put/call Volume ratio was 2:1. The Baltic Dry Index broke below 1000 for the first time in 3 years, a global economic indicator.

Category: General Market Tags:
Bold Enough to Call A Top?
Well, I already made that mistake. 1.9% lower. Check out my post from last Tuesday.
But, 1.9% lower really isn’t that far. Especially if you consider all of the bearish indicators that currently reside on a sentiment and technical basis.
I use very few indicators. I am a strong believer in the linear regression of time and [...]
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