Daily Forex Commentary March 10, 2010
March 10, 2010
Euro Building Support Base for Potential Upside Breakout
The U.S. Dollar was mixed in light trading at the close in an unusual day as the normal correlations between the Dollar, gold and equities at times were not working. The lack of major
U.S.

Category: Fundamental Analysis Tags:
Wednesday links: reaching for yield
Reaching for yield almost always ends badly. (Big Picture also FT Alphaville)

Category: General Market Tags:
Entropy, or Why the World as We Know It is Dying
The concept of entropy is one of the most useful terms for understanding just about everything. While it has its origins in natural law — thermodynamics, specifically — the concept holds true pretty much across all closed systems.
In the simplest of terms, every closed system will ultimately degrade toward a state of maximum entropy.
S&P 500 Near New Highs
The stock market is higher again this morning, defying those who continue to call for a pullback. I have been talking about how even though the market had become overbought, instead of pulling back it mostly went sideways while the overbought condition got worked off. This was a positive sign, and as you can see in the chart below, the oscillator has confirmed the recent highs in the market by making a higher high.

Category: General Market Tags:
Guesstimates on March 10, 2010
March S&P E-mini Futures: Today's range estimate is 1136-1150. I expect the market to reach 1200 over the next three months. Remember that activity will begin to move into the June contract at tomorrow's pit opening.
QQQ: A rally to 50.00 is underway.
TYX (thirty year bond yield): I think this market is headed for 5.00%.

Category: General Market Tags:
NYT: The Lithium Chase
Fun fact, half the world's lithium is in Bolivia of all places. Always looking for the "next big thing" I had looked into lithium investments in the past due to the potential of large scale increase usage, but outside of Sociedad Quimica Y Minera de Chile (SQM) - a hybrid fertilizer / lithium play - there were not really any decent sized investment candidates I could find. [Jul 11, 2008: Let's Talk About Sociedad Quimica Y Minera de Chile (SQM)] Judging fro

Category: Fundamental Analysis Tags:
Gold Slumps On China Speculation
G10 Advancers and Decliners vs USD
JPY
0.58
CHF
-0.35
EUR
-0.43
GBP
-0.67
• UK BRC Retail Sales (Feb) rose +2.2% y/y
• France’s Trade Deficit (Jan) was better than expected at EUR -3.681bn
• Switzerland CPI (Feb) ticked down to+0.9% y/y (1.0% expected, 1.0% prior)
• UK Trade Deficit (Jan) came out at a lower than anticipated GBP -7.987bn (7.00bn expected) but last month’s reading revised up to -7.01bn from -7.28bn
• An article in the UK’s Guardian reports that…
Read More …

Category: Fundamental Analysis Tags:
Tuesday links: setups abound
Setups abound. (The Reformed Broker)
Is the risk trade back on again? (The Money Game)
Foreign Creditors are going to want Higher Returns
My friends tell there are huge monies sitting in cash, awaiting some divine signal.
It’s a weird world. All logic suggests interest rates should much, much higher.
Happy Anniversary, Mr. Market
Today is the 1-year anniversary of the market bottom, when the S&P 500 touched 666 in what some are calling a 'generational low'. Today the S&P stands some 70% above those levels, thought still well off its previous highs. The S&P would have to rally another 35% to get back to its previous highs.
Tech is again outperforming so far, after Texas Instruments (TXN) raised its growth expectations in its conference call last night, and Cisco (CSCO) said it will be announcing a major technological advancement.

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