Technical Picture - Ambush Fails, Bulls Own It
News of the EU debt resolution sparked a huge rally as depicted on the ES emini chart above. The ambush zone was broken and we expect this rally to continue to through to the end of the year.

Category: Technical Analysis Tags:
Festival of Stocks: Colgate-Palmolive, Gambling and Kids

Category: Fundamental Analysis Tags:
Technical Picture - Bears in Control
The first chart is a wide range view of the S&P emini futures. We note yesterday's trendline breach and close near LOD. Today we gapped lower on accelerating mideast tensions and inflationary fears out of China (gold, silver, oil gapped higher). The gap was quickly filled, however, if we zoom in on the next chart below, we see that price couldn't close above the 5 day MA (orange), and hence, the downtrend resumed.

Category: Technical Analysis Tags:
Festival of Stocks February 22, 2011
Welcome to the February 22, 2011 edition of the Festival of Stocks. The Festival of Stocks is a blog carnival dedicated to highlighting bloggers best posts on stock market related topics. Fat Pitch Financials is the actual birth place of this online weekly event, so it is always a special occasion when I get the chance to host this roving event.

Category: Fundamental Analysis Tags:
Technical Picture - Small Caps Lead as Markets Extend Rally
Small caps recently corrected to 50 SMA. Friday they provided leadership. As noted on Thursday, the situation in Egypt would affect trade. After testing and holding support, the markets retested resistance and rallied on news that the Egyptian President had stepped down.

Category: Technical Analysis Tags:
Technical Picture - DOW Ends Win Streak
The markets gapped down on weak earnings (CSCO), ignoring the better than consensus initial claims (383 vs. 410). As we can see from the S&P Emini futures chart above, we filled Monday's bullish gap and reversed back up to fill today's opening gap. BTW, a must read in the morning for a good take on the market is Gtotoy. His outlook this morning was spot on.

Category: Technical Analysis Tags:
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Category: Technical Analysis Tags:
Technical Picture - Bulls Defend Support
Increased volatility followed the release of the jobs data as the data was mixed: non-farm payrolls came in below consensus 103k vs. 150k; but the unemployment rate was better than expected 9.4% vs. 9.7%. The Nasdaq notched a new recovery high but the DOW and S&P failed to confirm. That was an invitation to short as depicted on the S&P emini futures chart above.

Category: Technical Analysis Tags:
Technical Picture - Markets Mixed Ahead of Jobs Data
Marginally disappointing initial claims figures gave the bears the edge in pre-market. A 62% retracement of the early slide was ambushed and the S&P emini futures extended a full measured move in 30 minutes of fast selling. After the midday chop, no follow through occurred as participants were cautious ahead of tomorrow's jobs data.

Category: Technical Analysis Tags:
Technical Picture - Broad Based Gains to Start the New Year
Markets gapped up and broad based accumulation ensued to start the New Year. Both the Nasdaq and the S&P rallied beyond the top of the recent, tight trading channels. After breaching the channels, prices slowly reversed, forming rounded tops intraday. Rounded tops are bearish, implying too much supply, not enough demand at these prices.

Category: Technical Analysis Tags:
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