DOW

4

Triple US Equity Index Check on Push to New Recovery Highs

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This morning’s better than expected Jobs Report sent US Equity Indexes into or above key target areas that – if the momentum continues as it appears currently – will break price into New Recovery High territory which you’ll want to monitor closely.

Let’s take a look at the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and NASDAQ to compare current structure and what may occur on a breakthrough beyond these prior high resistance levels.

First, the S&P 500 Daily Chart:

 
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3

Correlation Between Age Demographics and Stock Market Prices?

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While perusing this early retirement reading list for more books to read, I ran across an interesting fellow named Harry S. Dent, Jr. His primary theory is that age demographics are strongly correlated with the economy and thus stock market prices.

 
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3

Last two weeks results - 10/24/2011-11/04/2011

http://trader-denarii.blogspot.com

Dow Futures: -216.92
Crude Futures: +189.32
Stocks: +110.44
Russell Futures: +3131.96
Swing trade: -1005.00
Dividend: +250.00
----------------------------
net: +2459.80
============================

 
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1

This weeks results - 12/5/2011-12/9/2011

http://trader-denarii.blogspot.com

Dow futures: +61.12
crude futures: +99.32
Russell futures: none
gold futures: none
Stocks: -169.58
-------------
net: -9.14
=====================================

 
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1

This weeks results 12/19/2011-12/23/2011

http://trader-denarii.blogspot.com

Dow Futures: +151.12
Crude Futures: +79.52
Stocks: +8.02
Russell Futures: none
Gold Futures: none
----------------
net: +238.66
======================
The results are okay. Barely traded at all this week and had two big misses.

 
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5

The Pound Versus Everything

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The British pound sterling is currently struggling to hold its value, despite the good news out of the Euro zone that Greek debt talks are nearing an end. The pound had a minor rebound on Monday, January 23, 2012, but experts expect it to give up ground soon. The Bank of England is coming to some conclusions in the near future that probably will include a need to increase monetary support. There is also talk that the BoE will ask to expand the Asset Purchase Facility up above the currently agreed upon 275 billion pounds.

 
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1

this weeks Results 01/03/2012-01/06/2012

http://trader-denarii.blogspot.com

Dow Futures: -338.88
Russell Futures: -40.02
Crude Futures: +24.66
Gold Futures: none
Stocks: -39.04
---------------------
net -357.28
======================

 
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1

Weekly Market Commentary: Market Breadth Improves; Breakouts for Dow and Russell 2000

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While indices continued their advance for the week, it was market breadth which made the biggest improvement.

The Percentage of Nasdaq Stocks above the 50-day MA rose to 62%, leaving it on course to test resistance from late 2010, currently around 70%.


The Nasdaq Bullish Percents also crossed the 50% halfway mark. Declining resistance for this index is around the 55% mark.

 
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5

DuPont (DD) Warns this Morning as "Decoupling" Theory of 2007-2008 Shall Prove Silly Once MOre

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Those of you who have been around a while remember all the 'decoupling' talk of 2007-early 2008.  That is (was), weakness in one part of the globe would not affect another, and please feel free to buy equities.  While decoupling proved to be a complete failure over time, leave it to Wall Street to have a short memory as old ideas are recycled and sold as fashionable once more.  That decoupling talk has begun to resurface as economic data in the U.S. - while "meh" in a general sense - has outperformed that of Europe.

 
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4

The Printing Presses Are Running. This Was the Final Push. Watch For Signs of Selling

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The price action this week has been rather subdued. Most Asian markets have been closed to celebrate the New Year and the economic releases have been minor. Traders are focusing on earnings and the results are in line. Yesterday, the Fed provided a spark when they set a zero rate policy through 2014. The printing presses in Europe and the US are running at full speed. Stocks had a mixed reaction initially, but they eventually rallied on the news. The Dow is close to a 3 1/2 year high. Conditions feel like they are improving, but the Fed obviously has concerns.

 
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