Currencies

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Week in FX Jan 29-Feb 3

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CHF continues to rise despite the EUR’s resilience. The SNB’s pledge to hold the CHF 1.20 cap will soon be tested. Since its inception last September it has worked, however, in the past few weeks’ market sentiment has changed dramatically. China considering greater involvement in EFSF and ESM program has done little to support currency so far.

 
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4

Land of the Rising Yen

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Japan’s Finance Minister Azumi said that the government will take decisive currency steps if needed and that speculative moves in the currency market are increasing. He and his policy makers can breath a small ‘sigh-of-relief’ after NFP, the market decided to sell the JPY outright! How long is this going to last? These specific market moves are providing better levels to own the currency. Markets have taken the Ministers comments in their stride. Intervention is a rising risk for USD/JPY shorts if the pair falls towards that psychological 75 benchmark.

 
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5

Initial Jobless Claims Fall, US Dollar Gains

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Focus on other data, and risk aversion, in the FX market

Initial jobless claims fell last week, but the news isn't spurring risk appetite. Instead, forex traders are focusing on other news right now.

 
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5

The Pound Versus Everything

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The British pound sterling is currently struggling to hold its value, despite the good news out of the Euro zone that Greek debt talks are nearing an end. The pound had a minor rebound on Monday, January 23, 2012, but experts expect it to give up ground soon. The Bank of England is coming to some conclusions in the near future that probably will include a need to increase monetary support. There is also talk that the BoE will ask to expand the Asset Purchase Facility up above the currently agreed upon 275 billion pounds.

 
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5

Positive UK Data Helps Pound in Forex Trading

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Sterling higher in currency trading

Positive manufacturing data out of the UK is helping the pound today in forex trading.

 
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1

Your Money and the European Debt Crisis

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A look back on 18 months of analysis and reports on the European Credit Crisis

 
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2

USA Today: As Bernanke Punishes American Savers, the Search for Yield Overseas Shows Pitfalls

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This is an interesting piece by John Waggoner of USA Today, especially on a personal level, as I've been looking at a host of yield producing products to 'barbell' against an equity exposure.

 
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5

EUR at NFPs Mercy?

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The biggest fear this morning was not a rumor that China may ease their RRR or the imminent possibility of Cbank intervention in yen, nope, it was Deutche banks forex outage (it seems to have come with their profit outage)! The worlds largest currency player experienced a brief disconnect on ‘Autobahn’ forcing them to experience the old ways and provide voice broking for a full 10-minutes. This certainly highlight the importance of this institutions presence in the FX game or are investors that bored with the same recycled reasons for market movements this week?

 
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1

Bloomberg Interview on Safe Haven Currencies

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I was on Bloomberg Television on Wed afternoon talking about Safe Haven Currencies

 
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