Currencies

3

China speculation takes heat off Greece

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Few seem convinced about the Euro-zone escaping further repercussions. Even leaders and policy makers disagree on ‘the positive actions’ to be taken. Greece, technically, could be the smallest of all of the European economies problems, as other members begin to impose their own self-austerity plans. ‘Loose lips’ yesterday by the Greek’s PM has investors questioning the value of the EUR. The market needs a distraction, and seems to be shifting towards the Yuan ‘potential’ revalue.

 
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5

Greece Debt Concerns Ease, EUR Currently Bullish

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Greece Debt Concerns Ease, EUR Currently Bullish

Some of the latest price movements in the EUR have reflected a growing sense of optimism in the Euro-Zone, given the mild easing of debt concerns in Greece. Switzerland also appears to be having a positive effect on the region with a recent report which showed retail sales climbing much higher than forecast last month. Investor confidence in the region also appears to have risen slightly better than was anticipated.

 
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4

Markets Rise as Greece, Dubai Detail Credit Plans

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For the past few months, all eyes have been on Greece and Dubai as the two countries struggle to deal with a growing debt crisis. Fears of insolvency have abated somewhat with recent, but vague, promises of support from other EU nations in the case of Greece, and the delivery of a massive bailout to Dubai from fellow United Arab Emirates nation, Abu Dhabi.

This new-found confidence has helped push emerging-market stocks to a six-week high. Commodities have also rebounded with a corresponding increase in the currencies of those nations exporting oil and metals.

 
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1

Greek debacle on hold, EUR and ‘risk’ in vogue

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After Friday’s pleasant US employment surprise and a market starting to discount Greece with its European support is pushing ‘risk’ back in vogue. Regulators are look at implementing restrictions for speculation in CDS’s and preventing a ‘run’ on a country. It’s an interesting situation in Europe, you have a vocal Sarkozy stating that Europe is there for Greece, while Chancellor Merkel refuses to give the ‘green light’ on financial aid to the country, not that they have asked for any just yet. This storm is far from over.

 
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3

Emerging Market Currencies Continue their Run

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Since most emerging market economies and financial markets are fairly small, their currencies are subject to the whims of international investors, moreso than is the case with major currencies. For that reason, when I research emerging market currencies as a whole, I often like to focus on what investors are saying are saying about their stocks and bonds.

 
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5

A Look at My e-Signal Screen

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In my last post, I illustrated my main Market Delta screen and the information I gather from that display. Above is my second main screen, from the e-Signal platform (click for detail).

 
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6

EURO mess is far from over

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Let’s face it there are too many distorting signals in the market right now. We have Juncker stating that ‘Greece will not be left alone’. However, Papandreou still has to convince both Merkel and Sarkozy over the next few days of Greeks austerity concerns and plans. We have the BOJ contemplating easing their monetary policy again. The Chinese Premier Wen ‘warned of latent risk in their banks and pledged to crack down on property speculation’.

 
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3

Daily Forex Commentary March 4, 2010

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March 4, 2010
Dollar Rises after Forex Traders Flock to Safer Assets
The U.S. Dollar was up sharply against all major currencies as investors flocked to safer assets following a poor housing report and concerns about Greece’s ability to shore up its

budget deficit. More the most part, it was a quiet trade on Thursday as many big Forex players stood on the sidelines ahead of Friday’s U.S.

 
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4

U.S. Economy is Showing Improvement -- U.S. Dollar Strong in Forex Trading

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Fed Beige Book shows improvement in 9 out of 12 districts

The U.S. economy is showing improvement, and that is providing a backdrop for a strong dollar in forex trading. Indeed, reports from the Fed's Beige Book show that 75% of the Fed districts are showing improvement. But enthusiasm is being held in check.

 
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Dollar Falls vs. EUR on Positive ISM Data

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Dollar Falls vs. EUR on Positive ISM Data

The U.S. dollar traded lower Wednesday as investors moved to higher-yielding currencies and riskier assets after U.S. data was better than expected. ISM service data showed the U.S. services sector grew in February at its fastest pace in more than 2 years, reducing the appeal of the greenback as a relatively safe investment.
Economic News
USD – Dollar Pulls Back on Greek Cuts

The U.S.

 
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