Crisis

5

Gold Juniors Poised to Rebound: Joe Mazumdar

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The Gold Report: What is the consensus among Haywood analysts on what 2012 will bring for mine commodities, particularly precious metals?
Joe Mazumdar: Last year, risk aversion was a common market theme. In 2012, some of the same global economic concerns, such as the ongoing Eurozone crisis and the future of the euro, will continue to draw attention. But we also believe there is potential for positive economic indicators, primarily from the U.S., where there have been upticks in manufacturing and GDP growth. Also, unemployment in the U.S. is down to 8.5%, generating some consumer confidence.

 
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1

Week in FX Jan 29-Feb 3

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CHF continues to rise despite the EUR’s resilience. The SNB’s pledge to hold the CHF 1.20 cap will soon be tested. Since its inception last September it has worked, however, in the past few weeks’ market sentiment has changed dramatically. China considering greater involvement in EFSF and ESM program has done little to support currency so far.

 
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4

China to Play the Eurozone’s White Knight?

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Since the early days of the Eurozone debt crisis, insiders have identified China and its $3.2 trillion in foreign reserves as a potential contributor to a Eurozone bailout fund. Today, Premier Wen Jiabao gave markets reason to believe this may yet be the case when Wen suggested that China is considering the options for how it may contribute to keeping the Eurozone together.

 
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3

2012 Stock Market Predictions

http://www.fivecentnickel.com

In case you haven’t heard, the S&P 500 closed the year at 1257.60 this past Friday. That’s just a hair down from the 2010 closing price of 1257.64 — essentially even in the grand scheme of things.

Despite the flat performance overall, the past year was anything but uneventful. Don’t believe me? Check out the graph below.

 
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3

The (Next) Big Short: Current Investments of Michael Burry and Steve Eisman

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I’ve read parts of The Big Short by Michael Lewis before, but finally re-read the entire thing over the weekend. If you are unfamiliar with this bestseller, it tells the story of the housing bubble through the viewpoint of investors who saw the crisis coming and bet big money on the collapse of subprime mortgages.

 
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6

Italian Bond Auction Could Be the First Speed Bump. Wait For SPY To Breach 125 - Then Buy Puts

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The markets will be pretty quiet this week as many traders extend their holiday. Stocks jumped last week when we learned that European banks borrowed €498 billion from the ECB. They used the proceeds to pay down more expensive debt, fortify balance sheets and to purchase short-term sovereign debt. This temporarily soothed nerves. The ECB's balance sheet has grown to a level not seen since the peak of the financial crisis in 2008. Most analysts see this as the "bazooka" they were looking for to stabilize financial conditions.

 
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2

Q3 Was Not a Good Quarter for American Wealth - Worst Since Dark Days of 2008

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Remember the reason for QE2... that whole "wealth effect" thing?  Well the problem with temporary manipulation of asset prices is just that... it's temporary.  Blow $600B through the hole, and while it creates temporary "happy happy time" (for a narrowing portion of our society) [Nov 10, 2010: Who Will Any Form of Intermediate Wealth Effect Really Help? Not the Masses], eventually market forces come back.  As The Bernank would say ... it's transitory.

 
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3

Last two weeks results - 10/24/2011-11/04/2011

http://trader-denarii.blogspot.com

Dow Futures: -216.92
Crude Futures: +189.32
Stocks: +110.44
Russell Futures: +3131.96
Swing trade: -1005.00
Dividend: +250.00
----------------------------
net: +2459.80
============================

 
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5

Zynga (ZNGA) Heads the List on Busiest IPO Week Since Nov 07

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Looks like on sheer number of new issues, this is going to be the biggest IPO week since the pre crisis era.  Hope it doesn't take away the shine away from (ahem) the most important debut of the week....

 
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