Friday links: dividend demand
The market should be down today. Why not? Sentiment. (AR Screencast)
The presidential election cycle is about to turn positive. (Crossing Wall Street)

Category: General Market Tags:
Australia may ax Mining Tax
The fate of a proposed mining tax in Australia, the world’s biggest exporter of coal and iron ore, remains in doubt after no clear winner emerged from the weekend’s election, heightening uncertainty for investors.
Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard, 48, and opposition leader Tony Abbott, 52, will need to broker deals with lawmakers to pass legislation after neither major party won enough seats to form a government in the 150-member House of Representatives.
Broken Bank Stocks a Canary in the Market Coal Mine?
If there’s one sector of the stock market that trades like death warmed over, it’s the financials. Bank stocks simply can’t get out of their way these days.
Take the KBW Bank Index (BKX) of 24 leading U.S. banks. You can see in this chart that it plunged in April and May, and it hasn’t been able to get off the mat since.

Category: Fundamental Analysis Tags:
Bookkeeping: Some Sales at the Open
These positions will execute first thing in the morning, I am looking to sell off some inventory on the long side, looking at stocks whose charts are at risk and with a gap down open on the index will do some damage. The only question is when the cursory oversold bounce happens will these charts regain support - I don't know of course, but bigger picture I want to get to a more hedged portfolio (we still hold hordes of cash of course).

Category: Fundamental Analysis Tags:
Why You Should Buy What Brazil Needs
Stefan Zweig pegged it right after all. In the late 1930s, the Austrian playwright and writer sought relief from war-torn Europe and settled in Brazil. He loved it. In 1941, he moved there and wrote his book Brazil: Land of the Future. Brazil, he thought, “was destined to become one of the most important factors in the development of our world.”
Bernanke and the Feds statement tinkering will heighten volatility
Will last Fridays headline print and payroll revisions arm twist Ben and his colleagues to re-introduce bond buying this afternoon? As late as last month, the Fed indicated that it was ‘not’ ready to take any action in the ‘near term’ to adjust its open market operations. That being said, policy makers assessment that the ‘economic outlook remains unusually uncertain’, coupled with the recent weak US data in housing and manufacturing, have fueled speculation within Capital Markets that the Fed could take steps as early as today to spur economic growth.
Invest in All Six Asset Classes
The following is a guest post from Marotta Wealth Management.
Investors are challenged these days to know where to put their money. Everyone wants to know which asset class will perform the best and help them meet their retirement goals.

Category: Personal Finance Tags:
The World’s largest economy needs stimulus….Take that bet?
The market is suffering withdrawal symptoms, especially after last Friday’s anemic US employment report. With little data for guidance today, traders will have to go ‘cold turkey’, with no fix, until Bernanke and the boys command center stage tomorrow afternoon. Up until now and rather tentatively, Capital Markets have been pricing in a quantitative easing premium by the Fed. They have managed to conjure up various imaginative plays by the Washington team. This could all come to naught with the possible scenario of a confirmed absence of any Fed purchasing of mortgages or treasuries.
NFP Gospel according to BLS
After spending most of yesterday squaring their positions, plugging all potential loss trading scenarios, the entire market waits for this morning’s unemployment data. It will not be the headline print that traders will focus on but, the private payroll release. A few dealers have pitched some high expectations, ranging from +50k to +120k for the private employment sub-category, with the unemployment rate dipping to +9.3%. Lofty prints indeed, if achieved, it maybe the beginning of a min-dollar rally.
China Is Winning the Energy Race
By Marin Katusa, Casey’s Energy Opportunities
Stop the presses. The United States is no longer the world’s biggest consumer of energy.
After topping the energy consumption charts for more than a century, the U.S. has been left behind as China leapfrogged past.

Category: Fundamental Analysis Tags:
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