Ten Years Ago Venture Capital was Huge
Why Buy and Hold is impossible in tech stocks. It’s been ten years since the Tech Bubble broke. Hence everybody and their uncle are eyeing the past phenomenal ten years. These ten items came from Business Insider:
Venture capital was huge. It never returned to its heights:

Category: General Market Tags:
Portfolio Tweak
Earlier this week I made an across the board swap that is worth talking about. I sold China Mobile (CHL) and then replaced it with Partners Communication (PTNR).
From the top down this does not change the exposure to equities or to the telecom sector but it does mostly eliminate China and increases Israel (we've held Teva (TEVA) for years now). We still have a little China as embedded in some of the ETFs we use.

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Pre-Market Open News and Links for Friday
Chart of The Day: "Today's chart illustrates how the recent rise in earnings has impacted the current valuation of the stock market as measured by the price to earnings ratio (PE ratio). Generally speaking, when the PE ratio is high, stocks are considered to be expensive. When the PE ratio is low, stocks are considered to be inexpensive. From 1936 into the early 1990s, the PE ratio tended to peak in the low 20s (red line) and trough somewhere around seven (green line).

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Feds offer help to Homeowners Facing Foreclosure
Tighter Requirements for FHA Loans Loom - It's about to get tougher to qualify for a FHA mortgage. The FHA is adding more-stringent lending requirements and higher fees borrowers must pay to get the federally-insured loans. Beginning this spring, the FHA will raise mortgage insurance fees that borrowers must pay, cap the amount of cash that sellers can contribute for closing costs and require higher down payments for the borrowers with poor credit scores.

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Thursday links: really soft commodities
The Risk Assets Index is showing a bit too much enthusiasm. (TraderFeed)
The Russell 2000 has retraced some two-thirds of its bear market move. (Barron’s)

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Another Day of Gains as Volume Ends Mixed
The Dow Jones Industrial average lags as the NASDAQ and Russell 2000 continue their dominance. Lagging the NASDAQ and Russell 2000, the Dow Jones Industrial average continues to be a weak spot in the market. Today was no exception, but volume on the NYSE jumped. Pushed by trading in Citigroup and AIG volume rose on [...]
Another Day of Gains as Volume Ends Mixed

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Wisdom Of Livermore
"Every once in a while you must go to cash, take a break, take a vacation. Don't try to play the market all the time. It can't be done, too tough on the emotions." - Jesse Livermore
In the wisdom of Livermore, I'm out of here for a couple of weeks until Monday, March 29th. Until then, be well.

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Financial Reform Bill To Debut Monday
The market is slightly lower this morning, though its already well off its earlier lows. Senator Corker just gave a press conference that a financial reform bill is likely to be unveiled Monday, even though it will not be a bi-partisan effort. It appears Sen. Dodd is under some pressure to get a bill out, even though it may not be ready for primetime. The uncertainty around this issue is likely an overhang on the financial sector today.
Now Pres. Obama is coming on TV to make some comments, and his appearances have never helped push the markets higher.

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long one unit at 1140.50 - going with the flow

Category: General Market Tags:
It Is Not Supposed To Snow This Much In March
On Sunday we had a little over a foot of snow fall here. After a day off on Monday we had a little less than a foot of new snow on Tuesday. The area behind where we park one of cars (at the top of our very long and steep driveway) has over four feet of snow accumulated; this is a spot that does not get much sun.

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