General Market

6

Saturday links: limit orders and dopamine

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The weekend is a great time to catch up on some of the reading you skipped during the week.  We hope you enjoy this set of long-form links.

Finance

What is the ‘limit order effect‘ and how does it change our thinking about behavioral finance?  (The Psy-Fi Blog)

 
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6

The Big Picture for the Week of February 5, 2012

http://randomroger.blogspot.com

After 22 trading days so far this year the S&P 500 is up 6.94%. Anyone may have a bullish outlook or bearish one but right here right now the market is rallying and seems like it has a good head of steam behind it.

 
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2

Friday links: gold theology

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Quote of the day

Floyd Norris, “More than almost any other dispute in economics, gold often seems to be a matter of theology. “  (NYTimes)

Chart of the day

 
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3

NASDAQ Closes off its Highs as Volume Slides, but Above Average

http://www.bigwavetrading.net

The market ended off the highs of the session, but with volume coming in lower we avoid a day of stalling. Russell 2000 small cap index raced higher tying the NASDAQ composite for the top index of the day. Interestingly, enough both indexes have yet to have the golden cross yet continue to lead the entire market higher. Bernanke’s testimony on the hill helped spark some buying, but as the testimony wore on sellers began to take over. We continue to play in overbought conditions, but this rally is healthy and remains that way. Tomorrow’s job report will certainly set off fireworks.

 
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3

Vanguard on Allocation

http://randomroger.blogspot.com

Index Universe posted some comments from Vanguard on their thoughts about portfolio construction looking out over the current decade. The headline was Stick to Allocation Strategies and from the standpoint of not giving up on equities, I agree completely. I've said before that for people who have learned they just cannot handle the potential volatility with equities fine, just understand the tradeoff of needing to save more.

 
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3

Guesstimates on February 3, 2012

http://carlfutia.blogspot.com

March S&P E-mini Futures: Today's day session range estimate is 1329-1343. The longer term trend is upward. A rally from the November 25 low at 1147.50 which matches the size of the October rally would bring the ES to 1370.

QQQ: Headed for 63.

TNX (ten year note yield): The 10 year yield has started a move to 2.50%.

 
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7

Friday 7atSeven: bull market stages

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Here are seven (or so) links at 7AM Eastern.  We will see you later with the daily linkfest.  Good luck out there.

Where are we in the three stages of bull markets.  (Ivanhoff Capital)

Where did all the ETF volume go in January?   (FT)

 
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6

Facebook $FB Files for an IPO as a late day sell-off takes down the S&P 500

http://www.bigwavetrading.net

The big talk of the town was FB filing for its IPO. Despite the news of the IPO sellers hit the market late day pushing stocks from its highs. Over at the NASDAQ despite sellers on the NYSE the NASDAQ appeared to be somewhat immune. Volume soared on the NASDAQ as institutions pile back into technology stocks. It is clear the leading index of this rally is the NASDAQ and we view this as a positive sign. A solid day for the NASDAQ while it appears the NYSE related indexes continue to lag.

 
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6

Thursday links: sell side blues

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Quote of the day

David Swensen, “A fiduciary would offer low-volatility funds and encourage investors to stay the course,” he said. “But the for-profit mutual fund industry benefits by offering high-volatility funds.”  (Justin Fox)

Chart of the day

 
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