ECB risk moves working?
It’s done. S&P did what many had only thought they would do. Stripping the US of it’s AAA rating, citing a negative outlook, will provide another hit to an already fragile business and consumer confidence landscape. The US’s fiscal path and its broken political system are to blame. The political scene is ‘so caustic that lawmakers are unable to make the tough choices needed to correct the debt-to-GDP rise’.
Emerging Market Currencies Brace for Correction
“It was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair,” begins Charles Dickens’ The Tale of Two Cities. In 2011, the winter of despair was followed by the spring of uncertainty. Due to the earthquake/tsunami in Japan, the continued tribulations of Greece, rising commodity prices, and growing concern over the global economic recovery, volatility in the forex markets has risen, and investors are unclear as to how to proceed. For now at least, they are responding by dumping emerging market currencies.
Trading the Euro
The Euro, the official currency of the European Union, is one of the most widely traded currencies in the world, if only for the fact that Europe is one of the most active grounds for business. Only the U.S. dollar, the British pound, and the Japanese yen see anywhere near the same amount of trading activity in the Forex market. If you wish to trade the Euro, the factors that you will be looking at will be slightly different and more complex than the other three currencies.
Tuesday’s “Relief Rally” to be Short-Lived
North American stock markets are expected to fall today following Tuesday’s rally following three consecutive days of deep losses. Asian markets were mostly positive overnight with the Hang Seng gaining more than 3 percent – European stock markets however, were mostly flat by the mid-point of the trading day.
By 9 am in New York, Dow futures were down 1.3 percent as was the S&P 500 futures index as traders prepare for what is expected to be another volatile day.
Fitch Warns of Greek, US Debt Default
Fitch Rating said today that a “re-profiling” of Greek debt where investors willingly allow Greece to delay payment on maturing securities would be seen as a default by the ratings agency. This action would further reduce Greece’s credit rating as a result.
Which Countries are Most Exposed to Greece
Here’s an awesome graphic of which countries are most exposed to Greek debt. If Greece defaults, France and Germany will suffer the most
China Buys Treasuries to Keep Yuan Lower
Yuan will appreciate if China stops buying Treasuries
For five months, China reduced the amount it bought in U.S. Treasuries. However, a report for April shows that China increased its Treasury buying. Of course, some contend that China had no choice, considering the trade surplus the country has with the U.S.
Weekly Trading Update - 06-10 June 2011
It's been a fairly good week this week because my main 4 hour trading system (see right for more details) generated 2 winning trades out of 3. (...)
Canada’s Unemployment Rate Drops to 7.4%
Statistics Canada announced today that Canada’s unemployment rate fell to a two-year low in May of 7.4 percent. All together, 22,300 jobs were created in May following April’s gain of 58,000 new positrons.
While the news is certainly positive, it is noteworthy that the number of self-employed positions were up sharply suggesting that many unemployed Canadians launched their own businesses in recent months.
Source: CBC News
Canadian Dollar Performs well in U.S. Session
Loonie higher in currency trading
The Canadian dollar has performed well in the U.S. session, heading higher in currency trading on the FX market. The loonie was one of the best performers today, thanks to improved risk appetite.
UK Interest Rates Held Steady at 0.5%
Despite inflation climbing to 4.5 percent in April from 4 percent the month before, the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee has voted to leave the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.5 percent. This is the 27th straight month that rates have been held steady,
Germany Raises Specter of Greek Debt Restructuring
A letter from Germany to other European Union members has once again thrust the possibility of a restructuring of Greek debt that could see investors suffer losses into the forefront.The letter was sent by German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble and calls for a “quantified and substantial” contribution from bondholders to Greek support efforts.
Using Automated Trendlines On IG Index / ProRealTime Charts
As regular readers will know, I am a big fan of ProRealTime charts because you can gain access to the Supertrend indicator and a few other indicators that are not commonly found elsewhere such as the Smoothed Repulse indicator, for instance. (...)
Aussie Gets a Bit of Boost in Currency Trading
Australian dollar a little higher in forex trading
The Aussie is getting a bit of a boost today in currency trading on the FX market as the carry trade means more people are buying the Australian dollar on its higher interest rate.
U.S. Dollar Surges on Greek Downgrade, Lower Commodities
Greenback higher in currency trading
The U.S. dollar is surging at the end of the U.S. session today, thanks to some disconcerting news coming out. Economic news has investors spooked, and abandoning equities. That is helping the U.S. dollar, as investors head toward safe havens.
US Consumer Sentiment Disappoints Falling to 6-Month Low
Further evidence that the US economy is in the midst of a lull in growth came today in the form of the latest consumer sentiment reading. The Conference Board publishes a monthly consumer sentiment index that for the month of May, dropped to a six-month low of 60.8 from a revised 66 recorded in April.
Euro has found its Mojo for now
Is this false hope? Germany softening its stance on restructuring demand is helping the EUR. While the market focuses its attention on the Germans, its the Greek’s ability to do or not do that we should be honing in on.
No demand of an early rescheduling of Greek bonds is certainly good news, paving the way for the Euro-zone to put together another rescue package to aid Greece in meeting its repayment objections over the next few months. However, this does not mean that an eventual restructuring of their debt will not go ahead.
Canadian Economy Sees Better Growth in Quarter 1
Canadian dollar mostly rangebound ahead of interest rate announcement
The Canadian economy saw increased growth in Quarter 1, growing to 3.9%. Businesses helped spur the growth. Even though there was improvement in economic growth, though, the Canadian dollar dropped a little bit.
U.S. Dollar Forex Trading Forecast
What's next for the greenback in currency trading?
Today, the U.S. dollar is a little bit higher in currency trading on the FX market. The euro opened a little higher today, but that was quickly overcome as concerns about Greek debt resurfaced, and due to light trading in general.
Weekly Trading Update - 23-27 May 2011
It's been quite a profitable week this week on all fronts. (...)








