Stock Market Video - Outlook for Upcoming Week - 3/14/10

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Focus on Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS)

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The Pacific
While I've said Day Trading is the greatest game ever invented, having to compete with and out think thousands of traders world wide. All while maintaining your discipline through patience and focus, nothing compares to the game of war...the game of combat.

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The Balance Of Power In The World’s Gas Markets and United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (UNG)
Excellent article on the Economist about Natural Gas and the profound changes caused by the new technologies to extract gas.
An unconventional glut
Newly economic, widely distributed sources are shifting the balance of power in the world’s gas markets

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The Positive Relationship Between Short Term Rates and the Dollar Index
I wanted to highlight a few quick recent charts of how the US Dollar Index positively correlates (moves in the same direction) with the 3-month Treasury Bill Discount Rate.
It’s not the most fascinating topic, but it’s definitely important to know of this relationship, so let’s take a look at a couple of recent charts.
First, a ‘zoomed in’ view of the recent action:
You can view this comparison in StockCharts with symbols:
$IRX for the 3-month T-Bill Discount Rate (short-term)

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Challenges in Pulling the Trigger on Trades: Overcoming Performance Anxiety
Here's a worthwhile feature from the Trader Interviews site in which Tim Bourquin interviewed three trading psychologists--myself, Doug Hirschhorn, and Gary Dayton--on the topic of how to overcome difficulties in pulling the trigger on trades. Thanks to Tim for the opportunity to participate.

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Weekly Market Commentary: Rally On Course to Test 2008 Reaction Highs (Tech) or Lows (S&P)
The first attempt at a top in January ceased to be with this week's close at new highs. For the S&P there is a series of reaction lows in 2008 which kick in at 1,222 and range up to 1,260.
The Nasdaq has long since passed 2008 reaction lows and is fast approaching the first of the 2008 reaction highs.

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The saga of an investor
Love to post this picture again ; so true ....

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Quote of the Week
"No profession requires more hard work, intelligence, patience, and mental discipline than successful speculation." - Robert Rhea

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Kicking Off the Weekend With More Good Reading
* Where to place your stops and why;
* What ideal coaching for traders would look like;
* Gold timers are bullish, plus more excellent reading;
* Very worthwhile video perspectives on the market;

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Download Now Available For Brett Steenbarger's Trading Performance Webinar

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Why Do Traders Lose Money in Slow Markets?
I've encountered many traders who make money in high volatility markets and then stop making money in low volatility environments.
Why does this happen?
Perhaps patterns change in the markets: how setups act during one volatility regime could be different from how they act in a different market environment.
Perhaps the traders are trading volatility expansion and not simply price movement. When the expansion doesn't occur, they lose opportunity.

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Potash Corp./Saskatchewan (POT) Shares Surge After Earnings Guidance

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State of the Market - 3/12/10

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Midday Briefing for March 12th: Forming a Range

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Gap Fade Short - STI

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A Second SPY Intraday Triangle Forms March 12
Following up from yesterday’s post “Get Ready for Range Expansion Play from SPY Intraday Triangle,” we see that we indeed get the range expansion breakout trade as expected by the symmetrical triangle of yesterday.
Not only does it serve as a great example of real-time identification and follow-through of the pattern, but we see a similar though smaller compression triangle forming today at 1:00 EST on the SPY.

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Morning Briefing for March 12th: Looking Toppy

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Apple Inc. (AAPL), buy the rumor sell the news ?
Apple Inc. (AAPL) chart analysis ;
1) Support mentioned in a past post was "reliable"
2) Trigger mentioned in a recent post confirmed the ABC pattern
3) Apple then had our little GVN (Gap, increased Volume, and News release)
Please remember that I have been bullish on Apple for a long time, but as a trader, I avoid the "hype" from the news media ; often turns into a buy the rumor and sell the news ....

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Grand Strategies, Strategies, and Tactics in Trading
Previous Posts in This Series:
Strategy and Tactics in Trading
Breaking Discipline and Good Trading Practice
Planning and Executing Trades in the Real World

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Popular Today
- 7The Positive Relationship Between Short Term Rates and the Dollar Index
- 6The saga of an investor
- 6The Balance Of Power In The World’s Gas Markets and United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (UNG)
- 5Weekly Market Commentary: Rally On Course to Test 2008 Reaction Highs (Tech) or Lows (S&P)
- 5Stock Market Video - Outlook for Upcoming Week - 3/14/10
- 5Focus on Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS)
- 4Challenges in Pulling the Trigger on Trades: Overcoming Performance Anxiety
- 1The Pacific