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Bookkeeping: Closing Rackspace Hosting (RAX) and DragonWave (DRWI), Cut Some Seagate Tech (STX)

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I said entering the week, these are 2 positions I'd be monitoring, along with EnerNOC (ENOC) as they are the 3 weak links we had in the long side of the portfolio.  I've culled Rackspace Hosting (RAX) twice this week, and said yesterday if I did not already have other shorts maxxed out, I'd be shorting the stock at that point.  Unfortunately as Greenhill

 
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2

Market Updates: Citigroup (NYSE:C), Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM), United Technologies (NYSE:UTX), Visa (NYSE:V)

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Shares of Citigroup (NYSE:C) rose more than 1% in preopen trade on Thursday ahead of the company chief executive officer’s address to a financial services conference in New York. Late Wednesday, the Financial Times newspaper reported that Citi CEO Vikram Pandit will suggest the core business’s earnings could reach as much as $20 billion in a few years. The report said the CEO will not make a specific estimate, but will detail the bank’s strategy and earnings potential. –MarketWatch

Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) will be holding its annual meeting.

 
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4

Daily Futures Commentary March 11, 2010

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Thursday, March 11, 2010
U.S. equity markets are expected to open weaker this morning but off their lows. Last night’s news that China’s inflation was higher than expected, fueled speculation of a rate hike

which helped drive down demand for higher yielding assets. The lack of follow-though to the downside has triggered a short-covering rally which is helping to boost equity prices from their overnight

lows. Yesterday the March E-mini S&P 500 stopped at its January high of 1148.00, triggering a profit-taking break.

 
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4

Louis Paquette: The Seasonality of Gold Has Broken Down

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Source: Interviewed by Ellis Martin, of The Gold Report

The Gold Report has again interviewed newsletter writer and commentator Lou Paquette, who launched the Emerging Growth Stocks website in 1995 to provide investors and speculators with a unique alternative to what he saw was a growing problem with corporate governance and conflict of interest on Wall Street. He is not counting out the U.S. dollar quite yet as the euro waivers.

 
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6

What's the Potential End Game for this Move?

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A famous saying on the Street is the market will do whatever causes the most pain to the most people.  With dip buyers relentlessly using every 20 minute selloff as a chance to buy stock in egregious fashion (once more this morning), I am trying to think how this move finally relents.  If this were any other year than 2009-2010 where low volume, V shaped moves have crippled any historical analysis I would have the easy answer ... but since the way the market now acts is completely foreign to me, I feel like a guy without sight... in a dark cave no less.

 
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5

Almost Entire Drop in 2009's Credit Card Balances Was Written Off Bad Debt, not Americans Paying Off Debt

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A fascinating story via AP, which shows how difficult it is to simply read the headline data and make a judgement.  We see this happen every morning where assessments of data are made within seconds of the headline crossing, and billions of market capitalization adjusted accordingly. 

 
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4

Bookkeeping: Stopped Out of Greenhill & Co (GHL) Short

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This short lasted longer than I imagined considering the market action... the irony is the first day in 2 weeks the S&P finally opens in the red, one of my shorts gets taken away.  Oh mother market - you are so cruel.  Greenhill & Co (GHL) jumped over my stop loss of $78.20 (entry was $76.50) so I will take the 2.2% loss on the position that began a week ago Wednesday and exit.  I don't see any particular news for the move but perhaps there was a broker upgrade.

 
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6

Informatica (NASDAQ:INFA): The Next Cloud Computing Winner?

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With the Nasdaq poised to resume leadership among U.S. stock indexes, technology looks like a sector with bullish potential. Even so, smart investors know that picking the right stock will still be extremely important.

One niche we like is cloud computing. We’ve previously highlighted the cloud computing trend. We talked about several cloud computing stocks that may help investors profit from the group’s rapid growth. Today we add one more name to that list: Informatica Corporation (NASDAQ:INFA). California-based Informatica boasts some strong fundamentals.

 
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5

Market Breadth Medium-Term Bullish

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There is a lot more to the stock market than just the popular averages everybody is talking about. You see, when the averages move you can’t tell how many stocks participated, so you don’t know how broad that move was.

 
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6

Bearish Dollar Will Try and Recover Losses Today

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Bearish Dollar Will Try and Recover Losses Today

Following yesterday's bearish downturn for the U.S. Dollar, the greenback will try and recover some of its losses with the help of several critical economic indicators today. Both the U.S. Trade Balance Report and this week's unemployment claims are likely to have an impact on Dollar positions.

 
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4

Dovish RBNZ Sends NZD Plummeting

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G10 Advancers and Decliners vs USD

JPY
0.18

GBP
-0.03

CHF
-0.11

EUR
-0.18

• Japan’s Tsumura sees signs of self-sustained recovery in domestic demand.

• Japan’s Hirano was more pessimistic; saying economy still in severe state despite positive growth

• Japan Q4 GDP was revised to +0.9% q/q, +3.8% annualized (1.0%/4.0% expected, 1.1%/4.6% prior)

• Reports that the China Statistics Bureau sees mild inflation in the coming year, but no signs of overheating.

• China CPI…

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1

Quick news from web companies

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Some quick news from today for the stocks that we follow here:

-Search market shares are out for February

Google 65,5% (+0,1%)
Yahoo 16.8% (-0.2%)
Bing 11.5% (+0.2%)
AOL 2.5% (0%)

 
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4

Daily Forex Commentary March 10, 2010

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March 10, 2010
Euro Building Support Base for Potential Upside Breakout
The U.S. Dollar was mixed in light trading at the close in an unusual day as the normal correlations between the Dollar, gold and equities at times were not working. The lack of major

U.S.

 
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4

Risk Trades Rally Strongly Despite Weak UK and US Data

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G10 Advancers and Decliners vs USD

CHF
0.58

EUR
0.47

GBP
-0.17

JPY
-0.80

• UK industrial production (Jan) posted a dreadful -0.4% m/m (+0.3% expected, 0.5% prior)

• Germany CPI (Feb) was revised up to 0.4% m/m, +0.6% y/y (0.2/0.3 expected)

• UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown says currency imbalances holding back global growth.

• German Economy Minister reported to have said European Monetary Fund should only be for Eurozone states.

• Swiss officials decline to comment…

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7

Pledge Update March 2010

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March 2010 pledge update below; as mentioned in previous posts we are on track for a summer 2010 launch.  .

 
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5

Daily Futures Commentary March 10, 2010

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Wednesday, March 10, 2010
Stocks Continue to Rally despite Drop in Volatility
U.S. equity markets are trading firm overnight after yesterday’s surge to the upside. Buying pressure dried up late in the session, but no damage was done to the uptrend. Volatility

is falling which is making traders appear complacent. This could be both good and bad. On the good side, it could mean traders are gaining confidence in the recovery which will send prices higher.

 
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3

Another Reversal; Back Out of Index Stuff

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I don't see any particular reason for this selloff, but it just might be complete fatigue in people's index fingers from clicking "buy" for weeks on end.  Based on the complacency people might be slumped over in slumber and their forehead hit the sell button in error.  The market is up basically straight since that Thursday selloff 2 weeks ago, and the Russell 2000 is up 19 of 21 sessions; effectively a month straight.  1 of those "red bars" is a 0.1%ish loss... so really 1 down day in a month.

 
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1

Bookkeeping: Restarting Google (GOOG) as Stock Breaks over Resistance and China Talks Progress

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It has been very difficult to find any worthwhile stocks to buy that are not extremely extended and on a 4 week warpath upward, but Google (GOOG) is a name that fits the bill.  The stock has been weak ever since news broke of a potential pullout of China, [Jan 13, 2010: Baidu Soars on Potential Pullout of China by Google] but the stock has just cleared resistance in the past few sessions, and provides an attractive entry.

 
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2

Fracking Fluids Part I: A Controversy Coming to an Energy Investment Near You

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The controversy surrounding fracking fluids is getting louder.  Websites and media savvy organizations are getting more press on this issue, using a very simple and powerful pitch – are the chemicals used in fracking fluids in oil and gas wells contaminating our drinking water?

North American investors have not been directly hit by this issue yet, meaning that a company’s stock hasn’t plummeted because they had to stop drilling over these concerns – yet.

“Fracking” is sending a specially designed fluid down an oil or gas wel

 
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